Seeding Scenarios in Patriot League Women's Basketball

PATRIOTLEAGUEDOTORG Army head coach Dave Magarity has guided the Black Knights to no worse than the No. 2 seed.
PATRIOTLEAGUEDOTORG
Army head coach Dave Magarity has guided the Black Knights to no worse than the No. 2 seed.
PATRIOTLEAGUEDOTORG

Feb. 28, 2013

Full List of Scenarios Get Acrobat Reader

CENTER VALLEY, Pa. – It all comes down to Saturday’s regular-season finales to confirm the eight seeds for the 2013 Patriot League Women’s Basketball Tournament, which is set to begin with four quarterfinal round games Thursday, March 7.

Semifinal contests will take place Monday, March 11, leading up to the championship game Saturday, March 16 at 6 p.m. on CBS Sports Network. All three rounds will be hosted by the higher seeds.

The standings have turned out remarkably balanced through the first 13 sets of regular-season games. Below are the current standings.

1. Navy (11-2)
2. Army (10-3)
3. Holy Cross (7-6)
3. American (7-6)
5. Lehigh (6-7)
6. Bucknell (4-9)
6. Lafayette (4-9)
8. Colgate (3-10)

Here’s a quick breakdown for each team in the standings starting from the top.

Navy: The Mids can be no lower than the No. 2 seed, but will wrap up the top seed with either a victory at Bucknell Saturday night OR an Army loss earlier in the afternoon to Lehigh.

Army: Similar to Navy, the Black Knights can only be a top-two seed. Army would claim the No. 1 seed with a win Saturday afternoon over Lehigh AND a Navy loss at Bucknell in the evening. An Army loss would clinch the No. 1 seed for Navy and give the Black Knights the second seed.

Holy Cross and American: Both the Crusaders and Eagles would wrap up home quarterfinal games in the tournament with wins Saturday over Colgate and Lafayette, respectively. American would take the No. 3 seed with a win AND a Bucknell victory over Navy, while Holy Cross would settle for the fourth seed in that case even with a win. If Navy was to defeat Bucknell, and Holy Cross and American were in a two-way tie at 8-6 or 7-7, then RPI would be necessary to determine who is the third seed and who is No. 4.

Lehigh: The Mountain Hawks need a win Saturday at Army to have any chance at hosting a home quarterfinal game. A loss would give home quarterfinal games to Holy Cross and American. A Lehigh win at Army, plus losses by both American and Holy Cross, would set up a three-way tie for third, and RPI would be necessary to break at least part of that tie.

Bucknell and Lafayette: The Bison and Leopards are in very similar situations, although the former can give itself a big lift with a victory Saturday night at home against Navy. A win there would give it the edge over Lafayette should the two finish tied at 5-9, since the teams split the head-to-head meetings during the regular season. If both teams finish at 4-10, and Holy Cross and American ended up in a two-way tie, Bucknell and Lafayette would have to wait for that tie to be broken by RPI. If American comes out ahead, then Lafayette would emerge in front of Bucknell. If Holy Cross comes out of its tie first, then Bucknell is the beneficiary.

Colgate: Compared to the other teams’ scenarios outside of Army and Navy, the Raiders have a relatively straightforward path ahead of them. A victory Saturday against Holy Cross is their only avenue to the No. 6 seed. Colgate could win Saturday and still have to settle for the eighth seed depending on what Lafayette and Bucknell do, or the Raiders could fall in the middle of all that as the No. 7 seed.

Below are the latest RPI ratings as of Monday, Feb. 25 from the NCAA:

Navy – 112
American – 123
Holy Cross – 156
Army – 161
Lehigh – 202
Lafayette – 208
Bucknell – 218
Colgate – 270

Click the link to the right for a Full List of Scenarios Get Acrobat Reader coming out of Saturday's outcomes.